Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 2.491373 2.649980 2.818076 3.010274 3.224925 3.458421 3.733191
2026-01-04 2.194478 2.404545 2.638605 2.921386 3.257455 3.648953 4.147009
2026-01-11 2.048107 2.288504 2.565495 2.913191 3.345376 3.875553 4.593163
2026-01-18 1.968320 2.235714 2.552711 2.964124 3.496566 4.181985 5.167531
2026-01-25 2.050880 2.378967 2.782578 3.330306 4.079886 5.114366 6.745540
2026-02-01 1.909684 2.233374 2.637415 3.195665 3.977522 5.089238 6.916499
2026-02-08 1.778856 2.092856 2.489023 3.043761 3.834382 4.984664 6.938320
2026-02-15 1.706999 2.023639 2.428638 3.005619 3.846965 5.109128 7.351415
2026-02-22 1.630990 1.944900 2.350687 2.936669 3.806826 5.145052 7.613446
2026-03-01 1.552571 1.859439 2.259261 2.842519 3.720655 5.097228 7.712628
2026-03-08 1.470962 1.766674 2.153944 2.722660 3.586742 4.958701 7.618322
2026-03-15 1.436678 1.735637 2.131375 2.720705 3.633588 5.123439 8.142391
2026-03-22 1.390644 1.691657 2.095199 2.706292 3.675387 5.311891 8.822366
2026-03-29 1.327137 1.622067 2.020925 2.632005 3.617294 5.322584 9.139428
2026-04-05 1.290225 1.586974 1.993033 2.625065 3.667669 5.535575 9.983275
2026-04-12 1.271259 1.575546 1.997853 2.667971 3.805168 5.934261 11.442331
2026-04-19 1.325868 1.669554 2.161037 2.974156 4.444137 7.496062 17.293833
2026-04-26 1.266064 1.597138 2.072216 2.862031 4.300730 7.326405 17.328564
2026-05-03 1.205820 1.522319 1.977153 2.734896 4.119681 7.048278 16.855115
2026-05-10 1.173087 1.486430 1.939878 2.702866 4.119179 7.196500 18.183207
2026-05-17 1.135851 1.442765 1.888987 2.644853 4.062887 7.201855 18.934613
2026-05-24 1.095318 1.393152 1.827286 2.565404 3.958332 7.074173 19.032552
2026-05-31 1.051221 1.337282 1.754385 2.463865 3.803707 6.804630 18.359556